HOCHTIEF Geschäftsbericht 2008
Looking Ahead: Outlook and Opportunities
- Effects of financial crisis impossible to predict with sufficient certainty
- Strategic orientation key to long-term growth targets
- Wide-ranging opportunities harbor strong earnings potential
- Consistent, earnings-driven dividend policy
Looking ahead
Competitive advantage of good strategic
positioning
A realistic judgment of how the financial crisis will impact
on the real economy is not currently possible. Uncertainty
about the way forward and the scale of the global crisis
has grown considerably in the last several months. Leading
economic research institutes expect that the world
economy will undergo a major slowdown in 2009, although
with regional variation. The growth markets of the recent
past will also be affected.
HOCHTIEF is outstandingly well placed with its strategy of
spanning the whole infrastructure project, real estate and
facility life cycle and of serving international markets. We can
seize available opportunities and better make up for cyclical
downturns. Our integrated capability portfolio and global
presence lend HOCHTIEF considerable risk diversification
and greater independence from fluctuations in specific industries
and markets. By closely dovetailing the elements
of that portfolio, we are also able to generate synergies
and thus add value for customers. We see HOCHTIEF's
strategic positioning as a sound competitive advantage
and the key to attaining our long-term growth targets'
through both favorable and adverse phases of the economic
cycle.
Group forecast subject to uncertainty
With the financial crisis dynamically unfolding, we are currently
only able to provide a very limited forecast for the
Group in 2009, burdened still by major uncertainty. As the
year progresses, we will add further detail to our expectations
regarding HOCHTIEF's performance in our quarterly
reports.
Our planning is based on the assumptions that the international
finance and capital markets will increasingly normalize
from 2010 and that there will not be a sustained recessive
setback in the world economy. We also work on
the basis that the situation in areas of political tension will
not lastingly deteriorate any further. We anticipate an increasing
rise in the euro against the US dollar and the Australian
dollar through fiscal 2009. We expect euro exchange
rates in 2009 averaging about USD 1.30 and AUD 2.00.
New orders, order backlog and sales regain normal
levels
HOCHTIEF once again achieved outstanding results in
2008 with new orders of EUR 25.28 billion, an order backlog
of EUR 30.92 billion and sales of EUR 19.10 billion. On
current
perspectives, in light of the situation now on lending
and goods markets, we expect that these figures will
settle back to normal this year, below the levels attained in
2008.
Earnings at similar high level to prior year
HOCHTIEF further stepped up its earning power in fiscal
2008. Both profit before taxes (EUR 520.1 million) and
consolidated net profit (EUR 175.1 million) for 2008 were
above their prior-year levels. The earnings growth showed
through particularly impressively in consolidated net profit,
which climbed by more than 24 percent. Despite the difficult
economic operating environment, we aim in the current
fiscal year to attain similar strong earnings performance
both on profit before taxes and on consolidated net profit.
We consider these earnings targets to be attainable in
particular with a view to our large order backlog and the
currently available opportunities.
Dividend continuity
HOCHTIEF has a longstanding dividend policy geared to
Group earnings and liquidity. Over recent years, we have
delivered dividend continuity with steadily rising dividends
and payout ratios above the average. The Executive Board"s
proposal for the use of net profit for fiscal 2008 provides
for a further increase in dividends to EUR 1.40 per share.
This represents just short of eight percent dividend growth
on the prior year and a payout ratio at over 55 percent of
consolidated net profit. It also implies an average 17 percent
annual dividend increase through the last five years.
Value growth
Generating sustained value growth from the assets in our
charge is integral to HOCHTIEF's vision. The Group and its
divisions are rigorously managed for value creation. Aligned
to capital market needs, our return on net assets (RONA)
performance metric makes value growth measurable and
transparent. It is integrated into all planning and control
systems and also feeds into portfolio and investment decisions
pointing the way forward. Based on our earnings
expectations, we currently once again anticipate RONA exceeding
our ten percent cost of capital in 2009. We are
confident of achieving substantial value created and hence
further increasing value.
Investing in sustained growth
Our capital expenditures serve to reinforce and continuously
enhance HOCHTIEF's leading position in the international
competitive arena. We systematically make additions to
our integrated service portfolio based on our strategy of
life cycle management. HOCHTIEF has some EUR 780
million in capital expenditure planned for the current 2009
fiscal year. Most of this expenditure, accounting for more
than 85 percent of the total, will be undertaken at our Australian
subsidiary Leighton. The majority of the outlay at
Leighton is earmarked for our capital-intensive and profitable
contract mining activities. Acquisitions may also be
made to further expand our concessions and service business.
Given the uncertain onward economic outlook, we
like the entire industry will be subjecting every commitment
of resources to more critical scrutiny than ever with
regard to profitability and funding.
Liquidity further secured
The HOCHTIEF Group is assured adequate short and medium-
term liquidity with strong reserves of cash on hand
and at banks as reported, undiminished holdings of readily
marketable securities, and revolving credit facilities still not
fully utilized. As of the December 31, 2008 balance sheet
date, HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft had available a total
of around EUR 300 million in bilateral credit facilities. As in
previous years, such facilities are not collateralized. Despite
developments on the international financial and lending
markets, extensions were successfully negotiated for borrowings
scheduled for repayment in 2008.
As in past years, our invested funds are held in capital-guaranteed
products and remain unchanged in total amount at
roughly EUR 240 million. These investments are scheduled
to mature at the end of the third quarter of 2009. Our current
intention is to reinvest the funds on a medium-term basis
as a reserve. A guaranteed annual minimum return and
capital guarantees provided by issuers with immaculate
credit standing have avoided any writedowns to date.
HOCHTIEF also collects a percentage of any outperformance
over and above the minimum return.
The Group's long-term financing is founded on internationally
syndicated revolving credit and guarantee facilities
opened in 2004 and 2005. The credit facility now expires
in November 2012 following our decision to exercise the
second regular option to extend it by a further year in 2007.
The syndicated guarantee facility was also refinanced
in 2007 and increased to EUR 2 billion while extending
its duration from initially three to five years. The price
and attached conditions were significantly improved in
HOCHTIEF's favor on refinancing, reflecting the Group"s
continued immaculate credit standing on international
lending markets. The two facilities provide HOCHTIEF with
sufficient scope and security for its long-term growth plans.
HOCHTIEF successfully issued two promissory note loans
at the beginning of July 2008 to restructure interim initial
borrowing for Group expansion and capital expenditure on
a long-term basis. Notes were issued for a total amount of
EUR 250 million and with tenors of five and seven years.
Attractive long-term conditions were once again obtained
for the issues, whose documentation is largely based on
that of the syndicated facilities. The notes issue again extends
the HOCHTIEF Group's circle of lenders beyond its
traditional core banks, avoiding the need for the latter to
increase their loan exposure. Separate facilities were also
secured during the year for specific major projects for
example, to obtain required bank guarantees with banks
in the various countries in which we operate.
The EUR 200 million first promissory note loan issued in
2004 is due to run out in May 2009. At the current state of
planning, we expect that we will be able to refinance it with
similar debt instruments. Negotiations to this end have already
started with banks with which a new issue may be
placed. For future borrowing plans, we are working on the
assumption that the international financial and capital markets
will gradually settle down in the course of 2009 not
least thanks to concerted support from central banks and
governments. We expect that the markets will increasingly
return to normal from 2010.
Innovation as a key success factor
HOCHTIEF will continue to forge ahead with its innovation
management in 2009. Sustainability will be a key focus. In
addition, we want to develop research and development
results and shape them into new business ideas. By focusing
on ideas management, we aim to tap into more of
HOCHTIEF's innovation potential. The 2009 budget for
central Group-wide innovation management activities will
be around the same level as in previous years.
Ongoing optimization of procurement
In 2009, our procurement volume is expected to remain at
around the same level as in 2008 approximately 75 percent
of Group sales. A number of measures are planned
to further boost procurement efficiency. As we continue to
systematically standardize procurement processes, we will
exploit economies of scale. In addition, we will develop
further our integrated supplier management and systematically
expand our internal lead buyer organization. We
expect a considerable further reduction in procurement
costs on the whole.
Targeted measures for the recruitment and
retention of employees
In order to counter the acute shortage as well as meet future
requirements for qualified skilled and management personnel,
human resources management will focus again in
2009 on positioning HOCHTIEF as an attractive employer
worldwide, despite the financial crisis. The regional importance
of HOCHTIEF companies and their brands as well
as our international Group will play key roles. HOCHTIEF's
long-term projects require investment in future experts
and management personnel. We will persist in using and
continue to promote successful measures to recruit university
graduates, train employees and advance management
personnel.
Our Global Recruiting Initiative was set up to accommodate
HOCHTIEF's international position: In the future, for
example,
certain projects will make use of a special intranet
platform which will ensure that vacant, international
positions can be more purposefully filled.
Opportunities
HOCHTIEF positioning opens up opportunities
Our tried and trusted life cycle management strategy and
internationalization open up opportunities for HOCHTIEF
to cope well with the current economic downturn and to
continue growing profitably in the long term. For all services
offered along the value chain of infrastructure projects,
real estate and facilities, HOCHTIEF offers its clients
both international expertise and value added through synergies
and premium quality. This positioning enables us to
be among the best in the competition, even in the increasingly
difficult economic climate. Furthermore, the fact that
we have focused intensively on fast-growing segments over
the last few years is also paying off. Our order backlog
reached a volume of almost EUR 31 billion in 2008 yet
another excellent figure. This represents a forward order
book of almost one and a half years.
State economic measures focus on infrastructure
In many industrial nations, but also in emerging economies,
governments are pouring billions into economic
stimulus plans to prevent a sustained recession taking hold.
For example, the US administration is planning a total
package of around USD 800 billion, China has announced
a program of some USD 600 billion and the EU member
states intend to invest a total of approximately EUR 200
billion to support the economy. Germany's federal government
also wants to provide an additional EUR 50 billion for
a second economic stimulus package to overcome the
financial
crisis. A key element of these programs are infrastructure
projects, such as construction and refurbishment
in the education, health, transportation, energy and
telecommunications sectors. HOCHTIEF has international
experience and success in managing complex projects and
hence sees great opportunities for itself in these government
stimulus programs. In the USA, for instance, HOCHTIEF is
very well placed to exploit opportunities for growth in the
building construction and civil engineering sectors with its
subsidiaries Turner and Flatiron.
Public-private partnerships
In connection with efficient use of public resources, we
believe there are plenty of opportunities for the public-private
partnership (PPP) model to become more prevalent and
thus for the private sector to play a greater role in public infrastructure
projects. As a proficient company with international
experience, HOCHTIEF PPP Solutions could not
be better positioned for the growing PPP markets. The
North American market presents ideal opportunities for
HOCHTIEF PPP Solutions North America to employ our
international PPP expertise. The company can also draw
on the expertise of Flatiron and Turner.
Green building
Considerable opportunities for the expansion of HOCHTIEF's
business also exist in the growing market for green building:
In light of rising energy prices, there is increasing recognition
that investment in resource-friendly and environmentally-
friendly buildings pays off. This requires early,
holistic planning for the entire life cycle of the property
based on ecological factors. HOCHTIEF identified the trend
toward sustainable construction early on and has played a
decisive role in shaping this movement. We are driving forward
the development of sustainable construction and
management models and all modules in our product range
cover this market segment. With this expertise, HOCHTIEF
is excellently positioned to exploit opportunities in this market
which is growing, particularly in the USA.
Energy efficiency and renewable energies
HOCHTIEF is well poised internationally to help realize climate
protection targets. For example, we provide services
that help in this aim for development, construction, revitalization
and the management of projects. In this way,
HOCHTIEF Energy Management improves the energy efficiency
of buildings, for instance, with innovative offers for
energy contracting. Through our commitment to geothermal
energy and offshore wind energy, we are also active in
the growth market for renewable energies. HOCHTIEF will
benefit in Germany and internationally from the measures
taken to achieve international climate protection targets.
HOCHTIEF and its subsidiaries operate in markets brimming
with opportunities. We will continuously identify and
strategically exploit these opportunities at all levels of the
Group.
Forward-looking statements
This annual report contains statements related to the future
performance of the HOCHTIEF Group and its companies
as well as to economic and political developments. These
statements represent estimates we made on the basis of a
thorough review of all information available to us at the time
of going to print. If the underlying assumptions prove false
or additional risks arise, actual results may differ materially
from those currently expected. Thus we are unable to
guarantee the statements made here.
Post balance-sheet events
There were no material events to report between the
close of fiscal 2008 and the editorial deadline for this
annual report.
HOCHTIEF Geschäftsbericht 2008 | Copyright 2008 HOCHTIEF